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Understanding the Seizure of the Legco in Hong Kong

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As every bully knows, if you push your hapless ‘victim’ far enough, they will eventually lash out in an attempt to defend themselves. And in that case, who exactly is to blame?

Couple weeks ago, hundreds of mainly youngish protestors in Hong Kong broke into the Legislative Council (Legco) building – the place where the local government works – and unleashed their fury on it. They smashed glass doors, graffitied the walls with slogans like “anti-fugitive law” (a reference to the legislation that ignited the protests in the first place), “universal suffrage” and “Carrie Lam step down” (Lam is the city’s current Chief Executive). And they tore portraits of past Legco presidents off the wall, broke computers and messed with the building’s electrical wiring. However, they also paid for the drinks they took from the cafeteria, put a note in the library that said “protect antiques, no damages,” and didn’t really hurt anyone in the process. Overall, they caused about HK$60 million in damage and ground government meetings to a halt for the near future.

HongKong protesters stand up for their rights. photo: Vox
HongKong protesters stand up for their rights. photo: Vox

This was big news in Hong Kong, of course – as well as around the world – and the reaction to it was swift and polarizing. Lam, pro-establishment lawmakers, business heads and religious leaders, among others, condemned the violence of the protestors’ actions (with said lawmakers dubbing it “the darkest day of the 176 years of Legco history”), while pro-democracy lawmakers and many young, fed-up citizens, although not necessarily condoning the violence, asked people to try to understand the reasons behind it. Essentially, the event divided Hong Kong society even further over the controversial extradition bill (also known as the fugitive bill, which would have created an extradition arrangement with mainland China for the first time).

I recently went to Hong Kong myself, arriving there a day or so after the Legco break-in occurred, and was greeted by nonstop news coverage of it. TVs in restaurants were showing guys in black shirts, hardhats, goggles and work masks slamming battering rams into the glass door of a building and then running amok inside, before eventually scampering away before the police arrived. It was a startling and unexpected spectacle for me, as I hadn’t read the news in a couple days and had no idea what was going on. But now, as I’ve had some time to digest these events, I’d like to try – like the pro-democracy lawmakers suggested – to understand what happened. Because isn’t a bit presumptuous to judge someone without first attempting to understand them?

The first thing to note is that most Hong Kongers (and all the people I spoke to in person) seem to support the protesters. What they don’t support, however, is the use of violence or the smashing government buildings. And, in fact, the kind of violence associated with the Legco occupation appears to be an aberration in the ongoing protests. I happened to witness one while I was there, and, although it was massive – like a sea of black-shirted people in the streets – it was generally peaceful. Whole families came out, people chanted what sounded like uplifting slogans, it was organized, and the streets were kept clean. It felt positive, somehow, as though all those people had turned up to express their solidarity and feelings about the government in a healthy way, without wishing to harm anyone. And aside from that one protest I attended, life in the city every other day was completely normal, so it wasn’t like the protesters had damaged the fabric of society or anything.

The other thing to keep in mind here is context. If you go back to the Umbrella Movement of 2014, where hundreds of thousands of people came out to demonstrate against the nondemocratic way Hong Kong’s Chief Executive is selected, you’ll see that the government’s response was basically nothing, as it simply ignored the protesters’ gripes. Then, more recently, when about 2 million folks took to the streets on June 12th to show their opposition to the extradition bill, the government again failed to react to protesters’ demands, which currently include the complete withdraw of the suspended fugitive bill, the release of arrested protesters without charge (like what happened during Taiwan’s Sunflower movement), and an independent investigation into the excessive use of force by police. Also, according to some analysts, the lack of universal voting rights in Hong Kong has led to growing resentment among citizens and widespread distrust of the government, and many people have begun feeling hopeless – and helpless – about their future prospects. In fact, there are reports of young people committing suicide over the extradition bill, a shocking and disturbing indication of how important these issues are to them.

So given this all of this, is it fair to flat-out condemn those radicals who attacked the Legco? I mean, if you were trying to tell someone something over and over again, and they wouldn’t listen, what would you do? Maybe you’d try to find another way to get their attention, which is kind of what those protesters did. By taking over one of the most ‘sacred’ and visible spaces in Hong Kong, they put everyone on notice – the Hong Kong government and their puppet masters (the Chinese Communist Party (CCP)), as well as the world at large – that this is extremely serious business for them, and they won’t be going away quietly.

And we also need to acknowledge that violence breeds violence. If you consider the CCP’s actions in recent years regarding its increasingly severe oppression of the Uighurs and Tibetan minorities in China, as well as its general lack of respect for Hong Kong’s autonomy as outlined in the handover treaty signed with the British, you might say that Beijing was one of the more subtly violent governments on Earth. Seen from this perspective, the words of young Hong Kongers somehow ring true, such as those of 18-year-old Sunny Lau Nok-Hing, who thinks the violence of the protesters was “a response towards the legislative violence under this unfair political system.”

As every bully knows, if you push your hapless ‘victim’ far enough, they will eventually lash out in an attempt to defend themselves. And in that case, who exactly is to blame? Is it the bully, who day by day took away his victim’s fundamental rights just because he could, or the victim, who after being mistreated for so long, suddenly decided to stand up for himself and punch the bully in the face?

Author / Peter K. Thompson

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CCP HongKong Legco protest
2019-07-18 Peter K. Thompson

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中共軍頭被整肅意味著什麼

  1月24日的周末午後,中國官方突然正式宣布中共中央政治局委員、中央軍委副主席張又俠與軍委聯合參謀部參謀長劉振立因為「涉嫌嚴重違紀違法」,而被「立案審查調查」,換言之,張又俠與劉振立已經步上稍早被整肅的軍委副主席何衛東等人的後塵,從當朝權貴一夕淪為被黨國唾棄的「貪腐分子」。   在何衛東、苗華、張又俠、劉振立相繼被整肅後,中共中央軍委從原來的七人,現在只剩下軍委主席習近平和副主席張升民兩人,從2025年迄今,解放軍已經有至少十三位上將被整肅,堪稱是解放軍在文革後所面臨的最大規模整肅。   對於中國牆外的華文世界來說,張又俠被整肅既意外又不意外,事實上,在許多華人自媒體從一年多前就開始流傳著張又俠和習近平爭奪軍權、甚至宮廷政變的傳聞,到了近期,相關傳聞開始轉為張又俠遭到整肅抄家的消息,而張又俠被中國官方突然宣布整肅,證明這些傳聞恐怕並非空穴來風。   然而,以張又俠的「紅二代」背景,再加上跟習近平的密切關係,讓他連續當了十年的中共中央軍委副主席,最後竟然是落得被整肅的下場,這凸顯出習近平再度展露出獨裁者多疑而充滿不安全感的本質,當他擔心槍桿子的忠誠度時,第一個念頭就是發動整肅,試看過去被他欽點的國防部長魏鳳和、李尚福;聯合參謀部參謀長房峰輝;軍委政治工作部主任張陽、苗華;火箭軍司令李玉超、;東部戰區司令林向陽等人,這些將領從當初晉升時被視為政治新星,不旋踵就被整肅而人間蒸發,成為習近平病態、偏執心理的犧牲品,這彷彿是當年蘇聯獨裁者史達林「大整肅」整垮蘇聯紅軍的歷史重演。   習近平對解放軍的大整肅並非僅止於中共內部的政治風暴,這場大整肅帶來諸多影響:   一、這場大整肅嚴重打擊解放軍中高階將官的士氣,包括兩位軍委副主席在內的十多名上將和底下數十名中將、少將遭到整肅,不僅重創解放軍的形象,更讓解放軍內部質疑習近平的領導能力,這個裂痕長遠來說會影響中國政局,也會讓習近平更集中心力在內部整肅。   二、目前看來,習近平越來越強調解放軍的政治忠誠,因此目前除了他之外僅剩的唯一軍委委員、紀檢出身的軍委副主席張升民為了討好習近平,張升民未來還有可能持續對解放軍發動密集的整肅,解放軍未來的「折騰」只會多不會少,更多的將領勢必成為張升民向習近平表忠的「祭品」,是否會激發出如當年林彪造反事件的重演並非不能想像。   三、當習近平把心力集中在整肅解放軍的時候,中國對外的軍事擴張是否會受到影響,解放軍將領是否會為了討好習近平而刻意挑起衝突展現強硬立場,還是恐懼動輒得咎而選擇躺平不作為,成為影響解放軍戰力的負面因素,在未來解放軍的對外行動中可見分曉。   如果張又俠的垮台讓解放軍陷入群龍無首的混亂,那麼習近平有可能會先選擇鞏固自身的軍權,在針對台灣、日本及南海的軍事擴張上採取收斂的態度,對台灣在內的國際社會來說,可以爭取到更多時間做好備戰的喘息時間。   張又俠等中共軍頭垮台的蝴蝶效應正在持續發酵,並衝擊著中國政局、乃至於國際局勢,台灣在內的國際社會應該密切關注其發展。 作者:局外人  

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