社會觀察 . 獨立評論 . 多元觀點 . 公共書寫 . 世代翻轉

  • Home
  • English
  • 評論
  • 民意
  • 時事
  • 生活
  • 國際
  • 歷史
  • 世代
  • 轉載
  • 投稿須知

The Mask Is Finally Coming Off: The Ugly Truth of China 

  • English Article
  • 國際

As people in the Australian intelligence community (and many citizens) are starting to wonder: What exactly is the price of a nation’s sovereignty? It’s a question all citizens of the free world should be asking.

The unrest in Hong Kong has been getting a lot of attention recently – and for good reason – but it’s just one example of China’s inflexible and anti-democratic approach to world affairs. It seems like it would be a relatively no-brainer for Carrie Lam’s government to offer some – any –  kind of concession to end months and months of protests in Hong Kong (not to mention the effect the protests had on recent elections, where Lam’s party lost big) and all the violence and police controversies they entail, but – no doubt under Beijing’s guidance – she refuses to give an inch. Not only is this stance somewhat irrational, but it aptly represents the CCP’s attitude towards just about every issue on Earth – “My way or the highway” – no matter what the vast majority of people think. And as folks from all quarters of the globe are slowly waking up to realize, China’s “way” is not a very pleasant one, given that its main objectives are to maximize and consolidate its power and wealth by any means necessary. Notice, I didn’t say by any legitimate means necessary, and certainly not by any ethical means necessary (although that could probably be said about most world powers).

Australia recognizes the threats from China. Image source: Reuters
Australia recognizes the threats from China. Image source: Reuters

There is an abiding principle here that most people not exposed to these kinds of autocratic regimes may fail to grasp (and it could be applied to any dictatorial-type government, including in places like Cuba, Venezuela, etc.), which is that what these governments say versus what they do are two vastly different (and sometimes diametrically opposed) things. Granted, democratic governments also spin facts and figures to their advantage, but the difference here is that China (or North Korea, or whatever) spews forth outright lies on the world stage – and by that I mean statements that have nary a grain of truth – to create the image (and it’s never anything more than that) that they operate in rational, accountable, rule-of-law sort of manner. However, because no one in their own land is able to call them out for their mistruths (without ending up in jail, that is), if foreign observers aren’t careful and take their words at face-value (as they’re no doubt accustomed to with more freely elected governments), they’ll be taken for a ride, hook, line and sinker, without necessarily realizing they’ve been duped (check out Sean Penn’s attitude towards Hugo Chavez, for example).

The only problem these propaganda-machine governments encounter (thankfully), is the fact that actions do actually speak louder than words. So no matter what they say, and how well they deceive the sometimes-gullible public, they can never avoid the bald-faced truth of what they’ve been doing. The challenge, therefore, for those on the outside of these nearly impenetrable block-box regimes, is to penetrate the subterfuge of what’s they’re saying (lying about) to arrive at the reality of what’s happening. And a good illustration of this phenomenon is China’s recent underhanded activities in Australia.

One case involves an Australian businessman, Nick Zhao, who told intelligence agents there he’d been recruited to win a seat in parliament as a Chinese agent, claiming his election campaign would be financed by another local businessman with ties to the CCP. The end of this twisted tale? Mr. Zhao was found dead inside a hotel room, something the local authorities are still investigating.

Another case is that of Australian asylum seeker Wang Liqiang, who said he’d previously acted as an undercover Chinese operative, assisting a businessman in Hong Kong to run clandestine spying and disinformation operations in Hong Kong and Taiwan aimed at undermining democracy in those places. Wang also dished on details of the now-infamous kidnapping of anti-Chinese book publishers in Hong Kong, spying on pro-democracy university students in that city, and stealing US military technology. (Wang came to Australia for asylum because his wife and child currently live there).

There’s also the peculiar case of Gladys Liu, a newly elected member of Australia’s Parliament, who gave mixed signals about her allegiance when questioned on such topics as China’s aggressive actions in the South China Sea and the Hong Kong protests, almost as if she were worried about offending Beijing (and this an elected member of Australia’s government!).

What more, pro-democracy protests at Australian universities by Hong Kong students have been routinely interrupted – sometimes with violence – by mainland Chinese students, while multiple protestors say they’ve been followed or had their picture taken by people possibly associated with Australia’s Chinese consulate. In fact, even an Australian journalist, John Garnaut, who once wrote a classified report on Chinese interference in the country, has reported being trailed by potential Chinese agents – including when he was out and about with his family.

Of course, as is commonplace with these sorts of regimes – as noted above – their primary ‘strategy’ when being accused of blatantly illegal activities is to strenuously deny that they even occurred, essentially pulling the wool over the eyes of the entire world. Which exactly is why China’s Foreign Ministry spokesman in Australia has labeled the above accusations “hysteria,” and said “stories like ‘Chinese espionage’ or ‘China’s infiltration in Australia,’ with however bizarre plots and eye-catching details, are nothing but lies.” And if that’s not a case of the pot calling the kettle black, I don’t know what is! Or perhaps they’ve simply taken a page out of Hilter’s playbook, as he once famously stated that the bigger the lie, the more people will believe it as they can’t imagine anyone having “the impudence to distort the truth so infamously” ….

One former Australian intelligence official has labeled China’s espionage efforts in the country “insidious,” and I couldn’t come up with a better word to describe them myself. I mean, these cases are reminiscent of something straight out of 1984 – an autocratic government openly (and sloppily) spying on dissenters of its agenda, while at the same time trying to plant agents at the highest level of government!? How can this situation possibly be tolerated by the Australian authorities?

The reason, sadly, is that they (or at least, some high-profile companies associated with the Aussie government) have been getting filthy rich through trade with China, making them less willing to crack down on the often disturbing behavior of China’s state-sponsored actors. But as people in the Australian intelligence community (and many citizens) are starting to wonder: What exactly is the price of a nation’s sovereignty? It’s a question all citizens of the free world should be asking.

Author / Javier Smith

 

Share this:

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • Email
  • More
  • Tumblr
  • Pocket
  • Pinterest
  • LinkedIn

Related

Australia China HongKong
2019-12-21 Javier Smith

Post navigation

執行「反斬首任務」不分黨派 → ← 挺民主的反射動作

Related Posts

如何強化台澎防衛作戰的能力?

現狀:中共不放棄武力威脅台灣 中共至今尚未放棄武力解決台海爭端,從實際面來看,解放軍常態化越過海峽中線、持續干擾我西南、東南防空識別區(ADIZ),如今配合中共海警船(類似我國海巡單位)以海上執法的名義侵擾我漁船的作業,種種的行徑均讓人感受到北京意圖改變台海現狀,以武力侵犯我國的意圖越來越明顯。   面對解放軍持續的強勢作為,我軍依然能根據自身能力,外加軍事採購調整、提升實力,茲分析如下: 增購、部署反艦飛彈 飛彈的研製向來是我中科院的強項,相關的裝備也大量的服役於海空軍。從海軍的角度來說,發展「以陸制海」的能力相當重要,相關的做法包括2020年向美方採購100套400枚「岸置魚叉反艦飛彈系統」,先由海軍海鋒大隊接裝,後續移至「濱海作戰指揮部」,預計部署在台灣東、西、南、北部,將與我國現役的雄風二型、雄風三型、雄風三型增程飛彈配合,形成一股強而有力的反艦飛彈網。 反艦飛彈網不但能為台灣提供以陸制海的能力,鄰國日本、菲律賓同樣也以相同模式,於各島嶼部署反艦飛彈,雖然我海軍在艦艇數量上遠遠少於中共海軍,但現代海軍船隻,面對大量海面的飽和攻擊時,其艦上的防空系統仍無法完全有效應付,因此我海軍的建軍作法不但務實,更能提升軍方制海作戰能力,也能大舉挫敗解放軍的登陸部隊。 持續強化空軍源頭打擊能力 傳統上,我空軍戰機是我國於戰時爭取空優的部隊,雖然空軍向美方採購的F-16V戰機尚未交貨,但已將舊型的F-16A/B戰機性能提升至F-16V戰機的水準,無論在制空作戰、對海打擊與對地轟炸我F-16V機群皆能和現役的幻象戰機、IDF戰機進行高中低空搭配進行反制作戰與空優的爭取。 然而,面對解放軍龐大的軍事基地與兵力部署,近年來我軍方也發展出具有源頭打擊能力飛彈。舉例而言,部署於空軍「防空暨飛彈指揮部」的雄二E巡弋飛彈是一款相當重要的彈種,該款飛彈是軍方以「雄風二型反艦飛彈」為基礎進行研發的巡弋飛彈,根據多方消息推論,包括美國CSIS智庫的資料顯示,雄二E飛彈的射程依據彈種有所區隔,A彈具有約500公里的射程,B彈具有約1000公里的射程,軍方為持續強化源頭打擊能力,增程型的「雄昇飛彈」其射程約達1200公里之遠,大幅提升空軍的源頭打擊能力。 提升陸軍源頭打擊能力 我國陸軍同樣肩負著保家衛國的職責,近年來美國政府也多次針對我陸軍的能力進行相關裝備的軍售,包括販售台灣相當重要的裝備:海馬斯火箭彈系統。 2020年美國政府正式批准出售我國29套海馬斯火箭彈系統,同時也採購84枚MGM-140陸軍戰術飛彈系統(ATACMS),以後者的射程來論,將達到約300公里的射程,若在本島發射,將能涵蓋福建省多數地點,大幅增進陸軍跨區打擊能力,也同時為我軍爭取更多的反制時間。 目前海馬斯火箭彈系統由陸軍58砲指部接裝,駐地為台中。根據12/18早上最新的新聞顯示,美國已正式同意出售我國最新的軍售案,包括再度增購第二批海馬斯火箭彈系統,具體內容為82輛火箭飛彈發射車、420枚陸軍戰術飛彈系統(ATACMS),未來將持續部署在北部的21砲指部、南部的43砲指部,此裝備未來將和國軍現有的雷霆兩千多管火箭彈系統進行搭配,為陸軍提供強大的源頭打擊能力。 結論 反艦飛彈、雄二E巡弋飛彈及海馬斯火箭彈系統現在及未來將是國軍相當重要的源頭打擊武器,國軍將秉持聯合作戰的型態整合相關裝備的系統與建構「共同戰場圖像」(COP)。 誠然建軍備戰必須花費相當多的經費,但為何國軍需要不斷採購武器?一方面是基於整體的印太、全球情勢增溫,二方面是解放軍持續威脅到我國的生存空間,基於上述理由,務實對美軍購、提高國產武器的數量是根本之道。 作者:宋磊

正面迎戰

台灣軍備與中國新式軍備若進入正面衝突,結果高度可預期:短期內以「高強度、飽和打擊、關鍵節點癱瘓」為主軸,戰場首先不是灘岸決戰,而是資訊、指管通情、空海軍基地與後勤節點的存續。多個公開兵推與研究都指出,開戰初期飛彈與遠程精準火力會大量消耗守方的機場、港口與地面防空資產,迫使防禦轉向分散、機動與韌性維持,並把核心目標從「逐件攔截」改為「維持作戰功能」。 中國是否有辦法用導彈破壞台灣重要基礎建設。能力層面,解放軍的火箭軍、巡弋飛彈與精準打擊鏈條,確實具備對固定且可識別目標造成嚴重破壞的潛在能力;其演練也多次呈現「模擬打擊關鍵基礎設施」的訊號。 但「能破壞」不等於「能達成戰略目的」。基礎設施分為可快速修復與難以修復兩類:電力、通訊、交通樞紐即使被擊中,仍可能透過備援、繞路、快速搶修與分區供應恢復部分功能;相反地,若長期反覆打擊、結合網攻與封鎖,才更可能把社會運作壓到臨界點。RAND 對台灣民防與韌性研究強調,戰時關鍵在於供電、通訊、物流、醫療等體系的「持續運作能力」而非零損。 台灣國防報告也把「韌性、備援、整體防衛」作為重要方向,反映官方已將「被打仍能運作」視為必備假設。 台灣是否武裝以備就可以和共軍打仗。答案是:台灣能打,但「打得贏」取決於戰型與外部變數。若是全面登陸入侵,防衛的可行路徑是以不對稱方式提高解放軍跨海投送成本,把戰局拉長,讓其後勤與政治承受不起。CSIS 兵推多次出現「代價巨大、勝負取決於介入與補給」的結論,顯示台灣單靠傳統對稱軍備很難在火力與產能上長期對拚,但能透過地面防禦、機動火力、海空拒止、分散指管與民防韌性,讓入侵變成不可承受的賭局。 因此,互戰的現實結果更可能呈現三點:第一,初期基礎設施與軍事節點受損顯著,社會成本高;第二,台灣若能維持指管、分散戰力、快速修復與持續補給,就能維持拒止;第三,戰爭走向會被封鎖強度、外援速度、國際制裁與資訊戰效果共同塑形,而不只是單純的飛彈交換。 蔡文邦  

China’s Claims Over Taiwan and the Question of Force

China has consistently asserted that Taiwan is part of its territory and that reunification is inevitable. This position is not new, but in recent years Beijing has repeated it with […]

Taiwan After Trump: A Bargaining Chip or a Strategic Stake?

After Donald Trump returns to office, the question of Taiwan’s role in U.S.–China relations will once again move to the center of global attention. During Trump’s first term, U.S. policy […]

Recent Posts

國民、民眾兩黨「打主人給狗看」!

國民、民眾兩黨「打主人給狗看」!

俗諺「打狗看主人」,從來沒有聽說過、看過「打主人給狗看」! 是不是要類如「殺鷄警𤠣」,不得不然:因為這隻狗太頑劣、凶惡,有如獒犬或比特犬,咬住敵人的喉嚨不放 ,制敵於死!看來又不像,這隻溫馴的狗反而被眾惡犬圍攻,只會拚命爬上樹喘氣,好險!好險!幸而還有一棵孤零零的樹可以託依,暫時活命 ! [...]

More Info
如何強化台澎防衛作戰的能力?

如何強化台澎防衛作戰的能力?

現狀:中共不放棄武力威脅台灣 中共至今尚未放棄武力解決台海爭端,從實際面來看,解放軍常態化越過海峽中線、持續干擾我西南、東南防空識別區(ADIZ),如今配合中共海警船(類似我國海巡單位)以海上執法的名義侵擾我漁船的作業,種種的行徑均讓人感受到北京意圖改變台海現狀,以武力侵犯我國的意圖越來越明顯。   [...]

More Info
蔣介石初來台灣的歷史會重演嗎?

蔣介石初來台灣的歷史會重演嗎?

1949 [...]

More Info
正面迎戰

正面迎戰

台灣軍備與中國新式軍備若進入正面衝突,結果高度可預期:短期內以「高強度、飽和打擊、關鍵節點癱瘓」為主軸,戰場首先不是灘岸決戰,而是資訊、指管通情、空海軍基地與後勤節點的存續。多個公開兵推與研究都指出,開戰初期飛彈與遠程精準火力會大量消耗守方的機場、港口與地面防空資產,迫使防禦轉向分散、機動與韌性維持,並把核心目標從「逐件攔截」改為「維持作戰功能」。 [...]

More Info

搜尋

精選文章

川習會的中美矛盾是戰略,不是貿易!

2017-04-08 韓非

八仙樂園爆炸案:缺乏常識造成的災難

2015-06-28 異想

彰化縣民輪替後的哀與愁

2016-03-06 許家瑋

新文明病:儲物症(Hoarding disorder)似正在增加

2015-04-13 楊庸一

訂閱本站

輸入你的電子郵件訂閱新文章並接收新通知。

Powered by WordPress | theme Dream Way
Powered by WordPress | theme Dream Way